UD Oliveirense 1-4 Alverca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Alverca EU Bookmakers 50%
-14% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.6 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Oliveirense
1-4
AWAY Alverca
1.42 xG 1.90
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
312 Passes 210
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UD Oliveirense vs Alverca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alverca swept aside UD Oliveirense 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alverca as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UD Oliveirense had 60% of the ball to Alverca's 40%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.42 to 1.90.

What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs Alverca?

UD Oliveirense 1-4 Alverca in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs Alverca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 27%, draw 28%, Alverca 45%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alverca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alverca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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