Chaves vs Porto II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chaves v Porto II — Team-Based Signals
Chaves vs Porto II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Chaves
POR2
4-2
HT 0-2
Porto II
POR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Porto II
POR2
1-2
HT 1-1
Chaves
POR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Chaves
POR2
2-2
HT 0-1
Porto II
POR2
Chaves 2-1 Porto II — Actual Match Statistics
Chaves squeezed past Porto II 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chaves as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Chaves had 43% of the ball to Porto II's 57%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.13 to 1.27.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chaves and 1.17 for Porto II.
What was the final score of Chaves vs Porto II?
Chaves 2-1 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chaves vs Porto II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chaves 49%, draw 25%, Porto II 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chaves), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.