Vizela 1-1 Tondela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
21.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tondela EU Bookmakers 34%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +29%
1.35/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.06
-52% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 16.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Tondela
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.02 xG 1.32
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
250 Passes 307
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
22.01.2022 Tondela Tondela 2-3 HT 2-1 Vizela Vizela POR
14.08.2021 Vizela Vizela 2-1 HT 0-1 Tondela Tondela POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela
1-1
AWAY Tondela
1.07 xG 0.98
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
417 Passes 277
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vizela vs Tondela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela and Tondela couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vizela had 58% of the ball to Tondela's 42%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.07 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vizela had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Vizela and 1.50 for Tondela.

What was the final score of Vizela vs Tondela?

Vizela 1-1 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela vs Tondela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Vizela 34%, draw 31%, Tondela 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/31/34) ✓ Under 2.5
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