Uniao De Leiria 1-3 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
1.48/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.61
-11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 15.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao De Leiria
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Benfica II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.58 xG 0.88
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
265 Passes 400
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 0-5 HT 0-3 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
29.01.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 0-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
19.08.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 3-1 HT 2-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao De Leiria
1-3
AWAY Benfica II
0.83 xG 1.92
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
314 Passes 392
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uniao De Leiria vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II beat Uniao De Leiria 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Benfica II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Uniao De Leiria had 46% of the ball to Benfica II's 54%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.83 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Uniao De Leiria and 0.33 for Benfica II.

What was the final score of Uniao De Leiria vs Benfica II?

Uniao De Leiria 1-3 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao De Leiria vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 34%, draw 30%, Benfica II 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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