Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
3-1
HT 2-0
Torpedo Moscow
RUS
1-1
HT 0-0
FC Sochi
RUK
1-3
HT 1-0
Torpedo Moscow
RUK
1-3
HT 0-2
FC Sochi
RUS
FC Sochi edged past Torpedo Moscow 2-1 away from home in the Russia - FNL on 8 Aug 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.
On the day, shots finished 14-5.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Torpedo Moscow and 1.67 for FC Sochi.
What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs FC Sochi?
Torpedo Moscow 1-2 FC Sochi in the Russia - FNL on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs FC Sochi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 45%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) went the other way.