Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
2-0
HT 2-0
Shinnik
RUS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Shinnik
RUS1
Shinnik and Arsenal Tula shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Russia - FNL on 8 Aug 2026. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, shots finished 15-6.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shinnik have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shinnik and 0.83 for Arsenal Tula.
What was the final score of Shinnik vs Arsenal Tula?
Shinnik 2-2 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shinnik vs Arsenal Tula?
Before kick-off our model rated a Shinnik win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 41%, draw 26%, Arsenal Tula 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.