Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
2-0
HT 2-0
Shinnik
RUS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Shinnik
RUS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Arsenal Tula
RUS1
Shinnik beat Arsenal Tula 2-0 in the Russia - FNL on 18 Apr 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score was close to even at 43%.
On the day, Shinnik had 49% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 51%, shots finished 10-8.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shinnik have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shinnik and 1.00 for Arsenal Tula.
What was the final score of Shinnik vs Arsenal Tula?
Shinnik 2-0 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shinnik vs Arsenal Tula?
Before kick-off our model rated a Shinnik win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 38%, draw 27%, Arsenal Tula 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shinnik), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.