Chayka 2-0 Fakel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 18 Apr 2026

Chayka
2-0 HT 1-0
Fakel
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
7.95
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
73%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.53
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
29%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
10%
+0.5pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.0pp
73%
Away Win
71%
+1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.0pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Fakel EU Bookmakers 75%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.47/2.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.13/0.36
-41% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +121%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
222 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chayka
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Fakel
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Fakel Fakel 0-0 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
05.12.2020 Fakel Fakel 1-1 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
31.08.2020 Chayka Chayka 2-1 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS1
27.10.2019 Chayka Chayka 0-1 HT 0-1 Fakel Fakel RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chayka
2-0
AWAY Fakel
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Chayka vs Fakel
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Chayka beat Fakel 2-0 in the Russia - FNL on 18 Apr 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 36%.

On the day, Chayka had 39% of the ball to Fakel's 61%, shots finished 7-13.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Chayka and 0.75 for Fakel.

What was the final score of Chayka vs Fakel?

Chayka 2-0 Fakel in the Russia - FNL on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs Fakel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Chayka 10%, draw 17%, Fakel 73%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fakel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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