FK Ufa vs Chernomorets — Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
46%
+7.2pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.46/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.25
+12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Ufa
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Chernomorets
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2025 Chernomorets Chernomorets 3-2 HT 1-1 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
30.11.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
12.10.2024 FK Ufa FK Ufa 0-3 HT 0-2 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
FAQ FK Ufa vs Chernomorets
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FK Ufa edged past Chernomorets 1-0 in the Russia - FNL on 18 Apr 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chernomorets lead the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Ufa and 2.67 for Chernomorets.

What was the final score of FK Ufa vs Chernomorets?

FK Ufa 1-0 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Ufa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 53%, draw 24%, Chernomorets 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Ufa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Ufa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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