Neftekhimik 3-1 Spartak Kostroma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.0pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Kostroma EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.92/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.36
-21% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftekhimik
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Spartak Kostroma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
4 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2025 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma 1-1 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
3-1
AWAY Spartak Kostroma
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 3
FAQ Neftekhimik vs Spartak Kostroma
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Neftekhimik beat Spartak Kostroma 3-1 in the Russia - FNL on 18 Apr 2026. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 52% of the ball to Spartak Kostroma's 48%, shots finished 9-17.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs Spartak Kostroma?

Neftekhimik 3-1 Spartak Kostroma in the Russia - FNL on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs Spartak Kostroma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Kostroma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 32%, draw 29%, Spartak Kostroma 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spartak Kostroma), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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