Cartagena 0-1 Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.94
6+ Goals
7%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 34% vs market 28.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.65
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
11%
6.35
X/2
12%
4.92
X/X
9%
4.19
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
3.23
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Levante EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.27/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.25
+17% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.8 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Levante
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
335 Passes 346
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
28.04.2024 Levante Levante 0-1 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
25.08.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 0-1 HT 0-1 Levante Levante İS2
05.02.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 1-2 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
16.09.2022 Levante Levante 0-1 HT 0-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
27.07.2019 Levante Levante 0-1 HT 0-1 Cartagena Cartagena HAZ
22.05.2010 Cartagena Cartagena 3-5 HT 2-1 Levante Levante İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena
0-1
AWAY Levante
0.62 xG 1.85
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
359 Passes 399
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante nicked a narrow win over Cartagena 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Levante found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cartagena had 48% of the ball to Levante's 52%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.62 to 1.85 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Levante's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cartagena and 1.33 for Levante.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs Levante?

Cartagena 0-1 Levante in the Spain - 2nd Division on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 34%, draw 26%, Levante 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levante), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Levante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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