Almeria II 4-1 Linense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.59
Over
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
44%
4-5
16%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.6pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria II The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Linense The Market 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Linense
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
19.01.2014 Almeria II Almeria II 0-1 HT 0-0 Linense Linense İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria II
4-1
AWAY Linense
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Almeria II vs Linense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria II ran out comfortable winners over Linense 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almeria II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Almeria II had 49% of the ball to Linense's 51%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Almeria II vs Linense?

Almeria II 4-1 Linense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria II vs Linense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Almeria II 43%, draw 30%, Linense 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almeria II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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