Granada II 0-1 Xerez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.54
Over
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada II The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez The Market 32%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada II
0-1
AWAY Xerez
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Granada II vs Xerez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez edged past Granada II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Xerez found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Granada II had 55% of the ball to Xerez's 45%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Granada II vs Xerez?

Granada II 0-1 Xerez in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada II vs Xerez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Granada II 39%, draw 30%, Xerez 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Granada II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Granada II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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