Melilla 1-0 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
45%
+5.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.1pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
0.72/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.42
-44% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melilla
2W-1D-0L
AWAY CD Guadalajara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.02.2023 Melilla Melilla 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
09.10.2022 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 0-1 HT 0-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
15.12.2013 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 0-1 HT 0-0 Melilla Melilla İS3
POST-MATCH Melilla vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla nicked a narrow win over CD Guadalajara 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melilla as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Melilla had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Melilla and 0.33 for CD Guadalajara.

What was the final score of Melilla vs CD Guadalajara?

Melilla 1-0 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Melilla 50%, draw 25%, CD Guadalajara 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melilla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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