Mostoles 1-1 SS Reyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostoles EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 55%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.00/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/1.04
+119% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% / -13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
206 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostoles
1-1
AWAY SS Reyes
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mostoles vs SS Reyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostoles and SS Reyes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was SS Reyes at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mostoles had 51% of the ball to SS Reyes's 49%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Mostoles vs SS Reyes?

Mostoles 1-1 SS Reyes in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostoles vs SS Reyes?

Before kick-off our model rated an SS Reyes win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mostoles 22%, draw 30%, SS Reyes 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SS Reyes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SS Reyes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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