Avai vs Sport Recife Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avai v Sport Recife — Team-Based Signals
Avai vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Avai 0-2 Sport Recife — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife saw off Avai 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Avai at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Avai had 49% of the ball to Sport Recife's 51%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.59 to 0.90.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avai had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Avai and 1.33 for Sport Recife.
What was the final score of Avai vs Sport Recife?
Avai 0-2 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie B on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avai vs Sport Recife?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Avai 41%, draw 31%, Sport Recife 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Avai) went the other way.