Sport Recife vs Avai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sport Recife v Avai — Team-Based Signals
Sport Recife vs Avai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Sport Recife
BR2
2-1
HT 1-0
Avai
BR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Avai
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Sport Recife
BR1
3-0
HT 0-0
Avai
BR1
2-2
HT 2-1
Sport Recife
BR1
Sport Recife 1-2 Avai — Actual Match Statistics
Avai squeezed past Sport Recife 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Sport Recife at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sport Recife had 39% of the ball to Avai's 61%, shots finished 3-18, expected goals 0.37 to 0.74.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sport Recife and 1.17 for Avai.
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Avai?
Sport Recife 1-2 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Avai?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 54%, draw 26%, Avai 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.