Mirassol FC vs Ituano Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mirassol FC v Ituano — Team-Based Signals
Mirassol FC vs Ituano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Mirassol FC
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Ituano
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Ituano
BREPAU
2-1
HT 2-1
Mirassol FC
BRE3
1-2
HT 1-0
Ituano
BRE3
Mirassol FC 2-0 Ituano — Actual Match Statistics
Mirassol FC beat Ituano 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mirassol FC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Mirassol FC had 63% of the ball to Ituano's 37%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 2.13 to 0.30.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ituano led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mirassol FC and 1.00 for Ituano.
What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Ituano?
Mirassol FC 2-0 Ituano in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Ituano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 52%, draw 26%, Ituano 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.