Goias 4-0 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
1.59
Over
34%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.46
2-3
39%
1.78
4-5
16%
4.84
6+
8%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.46 — our 37% vs market 34.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.9pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.58/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.23
+27% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
21.9 Crosses 14.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
4-0
AWAY Botafogo SP
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
456 Passes 340
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Goias vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias ran out comfortable winners over Botafogo SP 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Goias as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Goias had 56% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 44%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Goias vs Botafogo SP?

Goias 4-0 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Goias 48%, draw 30%, Botafogo SP 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
19 May 2024
03:00 Sport Recife vs Avai Analysis →
17:00 Santos vs Brusque Analysis →
22:00 Operario PR vs Ceara Analysis →
22:00 Mirassol FC vs Ituano Analysis →