Operario PR 0-0 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
70%
1.54
Over
30%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2.37
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
14%
5.11
6+
7%
31.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.37 — our 41% vs market 35.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-10.2pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
70%
Under 2.5
61%
+8.8pp
30%
Over 2.5
39%
-8.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.5pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceara EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.12/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.14
-16% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
25.2 Crosses 15.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
0-0
AWAY Ceara
0.87 xG 1.37
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
367 Passes 208
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs Ceara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR and Ceara fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 34% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Operario PR had 61% of the ball to Ceara's 39%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.87 to 1.37.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs Ceara?

Operario PR 0-0 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Ceara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 37%, draw 34%, Ceara 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Operario PR) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Operario PR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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