Ceara 2-1 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.52
Over
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.51
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.27
2-3
41%
1.79
4-5
15%
5.4
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.6pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR The Market 18%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.32/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.38
+13% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
331 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
20.9 Crosses 17.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Operario PR
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.37 xG 0.87
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
208 Passes 367
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 28
7 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Operario PR Operario PR 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
2-1
AWAY Operario PR
1.38 xG 0.89
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
293 Passes 372
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 10
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ceara vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceara nicked a narrow win over Operario PR 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ceara as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ceara had 47% of the ball to Operario PR's 53%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.38 to 0.89.

What was the final score of Ceara vs Operario PR?

Ceara 2-1 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ceara 52%, draw 30%, Operario PR 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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