Isidro Metapan 1-2 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.1pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.35/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.21
+0% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
12.05.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
09.05.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
21.04.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 1-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
18.02.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-0 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
08.10.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-1 HT 1-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
14.08.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo edged past Isidro Metapan 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Luis Angel Firpo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Isidro Metapan and 0.67 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Isidro Metapan 1-2 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 39%, draw 25%, Luis Angel Firpo 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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