Arendal 0-1 Sotra SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
1.97
Over 2.5
63%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.66
No
37%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
3.31
6+ Goals
13%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.6pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.5pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
47%
-9.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
53%
+9.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.8pp
37%
BTTS No
44%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arendal EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sotra SK EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.30/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.91
-29% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arendal
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sotra SK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Sotra SK Sotra SK 2-1 HT 0-1 Arendal Arendal NOR3
24.09.2022 Sotra SK Sotra SK 1-2 HT 1-1 Arendal Arendal NOR3
08.05.2022 Arendal Arendal 3-1 HT 1-1 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
01.09.2021 Arendal Arendal 4-1 HT 2-0 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
04.08.2021 Sotra SK Sotra SK 4-1 HT 1-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
06.09.2020 Sotra SK Sotra SK 2-1 HT 1-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
POST-MATCH Arendal vs Sotra SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sotra SK edged past Arendal 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Arendal at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arendal and 1.83 for Sotra SK.

What was the final score of Arendal vs Sotra SK?

Arendal 0-1 Sotra SK in the Norway - 2nd Division on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arendal vs Sotra SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arendal win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arendal 47%, draw 19%, Sotra SK 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arendal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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