Vard Haugesund 2-0 Hodd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
55%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
24%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
21%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
55%
Away Win
57%
-2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Hodd EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.87/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.04/0.49
-28% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +121%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vard Haugesund
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Hodd
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
25% Ball Possession 75%
5 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 14
5 Yellow Cards 0
12.05.2024 Hodd Hodd 2-1 HT 0-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
28.07.2013 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 2-2 HT 0-1 Hodd Hodd NOR1
09.06.2013 Hodd Hodd 0-2 HT 0-1 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR1
04.07.2004 Hodd Hodd 3-0 HT 2-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR1
POST-MATCH Vard Haugesund vs Hodd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vard Haugesund saw off Hodd 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hodd at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hodd led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Vard Haugesund and 1.75 for Hodd.

What was the final score of Vard Haugesund vs Hodd?

Vard Haugesund 2-0 Hodd in the Norway - 2nd Division on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vard Haugesund vs Hodd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hodd win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Vard Haugesund 17%, draw 27%, Hodd 55%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hodd) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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