Kosova 2-0 İsveç — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 8 Sep 2025

📅08/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.48
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
59%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.81
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.0
6+ Goals
9%
9.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.01
1/2
6%
21.5
1/X
3%
15.45
X/1
6%
10.3
X/2 EV+ ✗
27%
4.25
X/X
15%
5.48
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.03
2/X
3%
13.7
Value flag · X/2 at 4.25 — our 27% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+0.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
59%
Away Win
57%
+2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kosova EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY İsveç EU Bookmakers 61%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.96/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.06/1.05
-41% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -45%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.6
25.0 Crosses 22.9
3.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kosova
0W-0D-2L
AWAY İsveç
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.59 xG 3.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
304 Passes 354
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.10.2021 İsveç İsveç 3-0 HT 1-0 Kosova Kosova DKE
28.03.2021 Kosova Kosova 0-3 HT 0-2 İsveç İsveç DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kosova
2-0
AWAY İsveç
1.49 xG 0.95
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
198 Passes 527
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kosova vs İsveç
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kosova saw off İsveç 2-0.

This one beat our numbers. İsveç carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kosova had 32% of the ball to İsveç's 68%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.49 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, İsveç led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kosova and 3.00 for İsveç.

What was the final score of Kosova vs İsveç?

Kosova 2-0 İsveç in the World Cup Qualifiers on 08/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kosova vs İsveç?

Before kick-off our model rated an İsveç win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Kosova 20%, draw 21%, İsveç 59%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İsveç) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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