Deportivo Moron 0-1 Gimnasia Mendoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 8 Oct 2024

📅08/10/2024 · 🕒03:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.7pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.9pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.3pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 46%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.12/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.24
+20% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moron
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
19.05.2024 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
29.07.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 2-2 HT 1-2 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
26.03.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
16.10.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
08.05.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs Gimnasia Mendoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza squeezed past Deportivo Moron 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gimnasia Mendoza as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Mendoza led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Deportivo Moron and 1.60 for Gimnasia Mendoza.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Deportivo Moron 0-1 Gimnasia Mendoza in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 26%, draw 32%, Gimnasia Mendoza 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
8 Oct 2024
02:10 Ferro Carril Oeste vs Nueva Chicago Analysis →