Ferro Carril Oeste 1-2 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 8 Oct 2024

Ferro Carril Oeste
1-2 HT 0-2
Nueva Chicago
📅08/10/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Nueva Chicago Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.51
Over 2.5
33%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.8pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ferro Carril Oeste v Nueva Chicago — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.40/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.87
+14% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Nueva Chicago Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
21.05.2024 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 3-1 HT 2-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
15.02.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-1 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
15.03.2020 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-1 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
06.11.2014 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
08.09.2014 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-1 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago edged past Ferro Carril Oeste 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Nueva Chicago found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ferro Carril Oeste had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ferro Carril Oeste and 1.00 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs Nueva Chicago?

Ferro Carril Oeste 1-2 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferro Carril Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 39%, draw 31%, Nueva Chicago 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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