Nueva Chicago 3-1 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 May 2024

Nueva Chicago
3-1 HT 2-0
Ferro Carril Oeste
📅21/05/2024 · 🕒22:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Nueva Chicago vs Ferro Carril Oeste Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.66
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.36
Over 2.5
39%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.8pp
28%
Draw
34%
-5.1pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
70%
-9.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
30%
+9.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nueva Chicago v Ferro Carril Oeste — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.27/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.18
+17% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Nueva Chicago vs Ferro Carril Oeste Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
The Meetings
15.02.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-1 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
15.03.2020 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-1 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
06.11.2014 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
08.09.2014 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-1 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago saw off Ferro Carril Oeste 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 31%) promised a tight game; Nueva Chicago found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ferro Carril Oeste led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nueva Chicago and 1.00 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Nueva Chicago 3-1 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 40%, draw 28%, Ferro Carril Oeste 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nueva Chicago) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nueva Chicago) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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