San Martin Tucuman 2-0 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒03:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.35/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.29
-1% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Patronato
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.57 xG 2.71
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
341 Passes 136
77% Pass Accuracy 61%
23 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.09.2023 Patronato Patronato 1-3 HT 1-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
08.05.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
13.11.2018 Patronato Patronato 3-3 HT 3-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJ
27.07.2018 Patronato Patronato 1-2 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJK
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman got the better of Patronato 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had San Martin Tucuman as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 1.25 for Patronato.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Patronato?

San Martin Tucuman 2-0 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 45%, draw 29%, Patronato 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin Tucuman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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