Club Atletico Mitre 1-0 Brown De Adrogue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
38%
3.28
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-12.9pp
38%
Draw
28%
+10.8pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.0pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Mitre EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Brown De Adrogue EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
0.95/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.28
-30% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
419 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Mitre
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Brown De Adrogue
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
24.09.2023 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre 3-0 HT 2-0 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
14.05.2023 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
08.05.2022 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 0-3 HT 0-1 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Mitre vs Brown De Adrogue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Mitre nicked a narrow win over Brown De Adrogue 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club Atletico Mitre as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Club Atletico Mitre had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Club Atletico Mitre and 0.00 for Brown De Adrogue.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Mitre vs Brown De Adrogue?

Club Atletico Mitre 1-0 Brown De Adrogue in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Mitre vs Brown De Adrogue?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Mitre win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Mitre 45%, draw 38%, Brown De Adrogue 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Atletico Mitre), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Atletico Mitre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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