Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
30%
-6.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.20/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.98
-7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
29.07.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 2-2 HT 1-2 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
26.03.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
16.10.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
08.05.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza edged past Deportivo Moron 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimnasia Mendoza as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Mendoza had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 1.25 for Deportivo Moron.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Moron?

Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 49%, draw 23%, Deportivo Moron 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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