Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 8 Oct 2024

📅08/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.41
Over 2.5
37%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
67%
-4.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
33%
+4.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +29%
1.12/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.19
+4% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +48%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
15.6 Crosses 12.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.31 xG 1.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
290 Passes 282
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.03.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
07.09.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-3 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
06.03.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
26.09.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
12.05.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOLK
21.04.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 3-2 HT 2-2 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1-0
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.23 xG 1.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
344 Passes 287
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira nicked a narrow win over Deportes Tolima 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Deportivo Pereira made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 54% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 46%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.23 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.67 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?

Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 33%, draw 30%, Deportes Tolima 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportes Tolima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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