Fortaleza CEIF 3-1 Jaguares De Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 8 Oct 2024

📅08/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.6pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 19%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.18/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.36
-13% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
316 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
25.7 Crosses 12.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.16 xG 0.84
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
272 Passes 350
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
24.03.2024 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
3-1
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
1.90 xG 0.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
321 Passes 218
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Jaguares De Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF beat Jaguares De Cordoba 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 56% of the ball to Jaguares De Cordoba's 44%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.90 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Fortaleza CEIF 3-1 Jaguares De Cordoba in the Colombia - Primera on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 49%, draw 28%, Jaguares De Cordoba 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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