Jaguares De Cordoba 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.27/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.23
-20% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.5 Crosses 22.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba
0-1
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.84 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
350 Passes 272
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jaguares De Cordoba vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF edged past Jaguares De Cordoba 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Jaguares De Cordoba at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jaguares De Cordoba had 55% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 45%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.84 to 1.16.

What was the final score of Jaguares De Cordoba vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Jaguares De Cordoba 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaguares De Cordoba vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaguares De Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jaguares De Cordoba 43%, draw 26%, Fortaleza CEIF 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jaguares De Cordoba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jaguares De Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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