America de Cali 3-2 Boyaca Chico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-14.1pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.0pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.5pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -6%
1.48/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.27
-7% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -22%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 72%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
17.2 Crosses 13.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Boyaca Chico
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.04 xG 1.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
278 Passes 324
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 5-0 HT 3-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
18.06.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 3-2 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
22.05.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-1 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
20.04.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-1 HT 0-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
13.02.2021 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-2 HT 1-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
03.02.2020 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
3-2
AWAY Boyaca Chico
1.62 xG 0.80
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
316 Passes 140
79% Pass Accuracy 61%
24 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Boyaca Chico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali squeezed past Boyaca Chico 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, America de Cali had 64% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 36%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.62 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for America de Cali and 0.83 for Boyaca Chico.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Boyaca Chico?

America de Cali 3-2 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Boyaca Chico?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 51%, draw 30%, Boyaca Chico 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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