Deportes Tolima 2-1 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.17/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.11
+3% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
17.0 Crosses 12.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.13 xG 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
290 Passes 258
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-3 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
06.03.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
26.09.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
12.05.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOLK
21.04.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 3-2 HT 2-2 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
03.04.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-2 HT 0-2 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.69 xG 1.15
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
301 Passes 401
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 11
6 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima squeezed past Deportivo Pereira 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 43% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 57%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.69 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.67 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira?

Deportes Tolima 2-1 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 45%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pereira 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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