Nijer 3-1 Kongo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 8 Oct 2025

Nijer
3-1 HT 1-0
Kongo
📅08/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.3pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nijer EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongo EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -97% / +67%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nijer
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Kongo
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.58 xG 0.55
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
214 Passes 282
64% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.06.2024 Kongo Kongo 0-3 Nijer Nijer DKE
20.01.2023 Kongo Kongo 0-0 HT 0-0 Nijer Nijer AUŞ
21.01.2021 Kongo Kongo 1-1 HT 1-0 Nijer Nijer AUŞ
07.09.2013 Nijer Nijer 2-2 HT 1-0 Kongo Kongo DKE
09.06.2012 Kongo Kongo 1-0 HT 0-0 Nijer Nijer DKE
POST-MATCH Nijer vs Kongo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nijer got the better of Kongo 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nijer as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Nijer and 0.80 for Kongo.

What was the final score of Nijer vs Kongo?

Nijer 3-1 Kongo in the World Cup Qualifiers on 08/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nijer vs Kongo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nijer win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nijer 49%, draw 25%, Kongo 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nijer) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nijer) ✗ Under 2.5
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