Incheon United 1-1 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 8 Oct 2025

📅08/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
13%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 34%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.33/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.13
+0% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.7 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
350 Passes 381
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.06.2025 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-2 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR2
01.03.2025 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
30.09.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 1-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
28.06.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 3-2 HT 2-2 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
11.06.2023 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
05.05.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
1-1
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
264 Passes 332
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United and Suwon Bluewings couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Incheon United had 45% of the ball to Suwon Bluewings's 55%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Incheon United and 0.67 for Suwon Bluewings.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Suwon Bluewings?

Incheon United 1-1 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 08/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 40%, draw 32%, Suwon Bluewings 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Incheon United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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