Union Berlin 0-0 Freiburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.55
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.65
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.43
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
12%
4.85
X/2
12%
6.02
X/X
15%
3.88
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
17%
4.65
2/X
5%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Berlin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg EU Bookmakers 34%
+13% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.41/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.55
-2% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.8 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Berlin
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Freiburg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.65 xG 1.68
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
256 Passes 478
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Union Berlin Union Berlin 2-1 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
13.01.2024 Freiburg Freiburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
13.05.2023 Union Berlin Union Berlin 4-2 HT 3-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
13.11.2022 Freiburg Freiburg 4-1 HT 4-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
07.05.2022 Freiburg Freiburg 1-4 HT 0-3 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
15.12.2021 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Berlin
0-0
AWAY Freiburg
0.75 xG 1.69
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
284 Passes 478
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 31
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Union Berlin vs Freiburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Berlin and Freiburg fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Union Berlin had 40% of the ball to Freiburg's 60%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.75 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Union Berlin and 1.33 for Freiburg.

What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Freiburg?

Union Berlin 0-0 Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Freiburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 39%, draw 26%, Freiburg 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Berlin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Berlin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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