Slavia Mozyr 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
18.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+11.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 24%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.01/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.43
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Mozyr
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
28.10.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 2-2 HT 1-2 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
02.06.2023 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-0 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
19.09.2015 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-3 HT 0-1 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
23.05.2015 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 1-1 HT 1-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Mozyr
1-0
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan Novopolotsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Mozyr nicked a narrow win over Naftan Novopolotsk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slavia Mozyr as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Slavia Mozyr had 56% of the ball to Naftan Novopolotsk's 44%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Slavia Mozyr had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Slavia Mozyr and 1.20 for Naftan Novopolotsk.

What was the final score of Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

Slavia Mozyr 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Slavia Mozyr 44%, draw 24%, Naftan Novopolotsk 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR More Belarus - Premier League
8 Nov 2024
18:00 Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev Analysis →