Vitebsk 2-1 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.64
Over 2.5
35%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.61
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
13%
4.51
6+ Goals
6%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 37% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
57%
+7.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
43%
-7.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.59/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.72
-6% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitebsk
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.06.2024 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-2 HT 0-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
27.08.2023 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR1
10.09.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 2-1 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
02.05.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-1 HT 1-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
06.12.2014 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitebsk
2-1
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
50% Ball Possession 50%
22 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitebsk edged past Dnepr Mogilev 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vitebsk as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vitebsk had 50% of the ball to Dnepr Mogilev's 50%, shots finished 22-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vitebsk had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Vitebsk and 1.00 for Dnepr Mogilev.

What was the final score of Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Vitebsk 2-1 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - Premier League on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vitebsk 51%, draw 28%, Dnepr Mogilev 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitebsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vitebsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR More Belarus - Premier League
8 Nov 2024
20:00 Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan Novopolotsk Analysis →