Jarun 1-2 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
50%
-12.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 27%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.48/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.32
+8% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
0W-2D-0L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.09.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-1 HT 0-1 Jarun Jarun HIR2
18.05.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-1 HT 0-1 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
1-2
AWAY HNK Cibalia
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jarun vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia squeezed past Jarun 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; HNK Cibalia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jarun had 51% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 49%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jarun and 1.00 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Jarun vs HNK Cibalia?

Jarun 1-2 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jarun 38%, draw 29%, HNK Cibalia 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jarun) ✗ Under 2.5
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