Export Sebaco vs Matagalpa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Export Sebaco v Matagalpa — Team-Based Signals
Export Sebaco vs Matagalpa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Export Sebaco
NİK
2-2
HT 0-1
Matagalpa
NİK
0-0
HT 0-0
Export Sebaco
NİK
0-3
HT 0-1
Matagalpa
NİK
Matagalpa got the better of Export Sebaco 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Export Sebaco at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matagalpa led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Export Sebaco and 1.50 for Matagalpa.
What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Matagalpa?
Export Sebaco 1-3 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Matagalpa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 41%, draw 28%, Matagalpa 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Export Sebaco), Under 2.5 went the other way.