Pogon Szczecin 0-1 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 27% vs market 21.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
18%
4.46
X/2
9%
7.55
X/X
10%
5.03
2/1
11%
23.6
2/2
12%
5.42
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.5pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +10%
1.76/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.58
+20% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
21.9 Crosses 16.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Szczecin
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.99 xG 1.03
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
404 Passes 212
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-4 HT 0-3 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
13.08.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0-2 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
27.05.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
13.11.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-2 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
04.03.2022 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
13.09.2021 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 0-1 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Szczecin
0-1
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.82 xG 1.15
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
17 Corners 6
386 Passes 217
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
50 Box Touches 21
38 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom edged past Pogon Szczecin 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Pogon Szczecin at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 61% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 39%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 1.82 to 1.15 — on chances, Pogon Szczecin could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 0.67 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?

Pogon Szczecin 0-1 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 48%, draw 25%, Radomiak Radom 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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