Greenock Morton 1-0 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 8 Nov 2025

Greenock Morton
1-0 HT 1-0
Arbroath
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Greenock Morton vs Arbroath Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.17
6+ Goals
8%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.32
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
17%
4.95
X/2
13%
6.37
X/X
13%
4.21
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
12%
4.88
2/X
7%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greenock Morton v Arbroath — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.66/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.15
+23% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
275 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
7.0 Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Greenock Morton vs Arbroath Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Arbroath
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
20.09.2025 Arbroath Arbroath 1-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
27.01.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
09.12.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 1-2 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
26.08.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-3 HT 0-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
17.03.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 1-1 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
28.01.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-2 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton nicked a narrow win over Arbroath 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Greenock Morton found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Greenock Morton and 1.33 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Arbroath?

Greenock Morton 1-0 Arbroath in the Scotland - Championship on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenock Morton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 40%, draw 28%, Arbroath 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenock Morton) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greenock Morton) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKCL More Scotland - Championship
8 Nov 2025
18:00 Dunfermline Athletic vs St. Johnstone Analysis →
18:00 Queens Park vs Raith Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Ross County vs Ayr United Analysis →