Ross County 3-3 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 8 Nov 2025

Ross County
3-3 HT 2-1
Ayr United
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Ross County vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 28% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.68
1/2
12%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
12%
5.53
X/2
12%
5.91
X/X
15%
4.5
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
12%
4.07
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ross County v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
1.74/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.33
+24% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
270 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 69%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
22.0 Crosses 9.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1

Ross County vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ayr United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
13.09.2025 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
18.01.2020 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKK
19.04.2019 Ayr United Ayr United 1-3 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKCL
26.02.2019 Ross County Ross County 3-2 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
15.12.2018 Ayr United Ayr United 3-3 HT 3-1 Ross County Ross County İKCL
20.10.2018 Ross County Ross County 2-1 HT 2-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ross County and Ayr United couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ross County had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ross County and 1.50 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Ayr United?

Ross County 3-3 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ross County 36%, draw 28%, Ayr United 36%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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