Harborough Town 1-0 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.29/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.85
-32% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harborough Town
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Alvechurch
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Harborough Town Harborough Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
13.08.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-1 HT 0-1 Harborough Town Harborough Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town edged past Alvechurch 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Harborough Town as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alvechurch led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Harborough Town and 1.00 for Alvechurch.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs Alvechurch?

Harborough Town 1-0 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 52%, draw 27%, Alvechurch 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harborough Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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