Harborough Town 0-1 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -17%
1.63/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.67
-7% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harborough Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Alvechurch
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.08.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-1 HT 0-1 Harborough Town Harborough Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harborough Town
0-1
AWAY Alvechurch
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch edged past Harborough Town 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Harborough Town at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Harborough Town had 57% of the ball to Alvechurch's 43%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs Alvechurch?

Harborough Town 0-1 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 52%, draw 24%, Alvechurch 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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