21/12/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Hebburn Town vs Blyth Spartans Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
21%
Draw
21%
24%
Away Win
16%
50%
Under 2.5
41%
50%
Over 2.5
59%
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
57%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hebburn Town v Blyth Spartans — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Hebburn Town
EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY
Blyth Spartans
EU Bookmakers 19%
-35% /
-35%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+3%
2.31/3.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.58/2.39
+11%
/
-63%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+39%
/
-19%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
352 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
286 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.5
Yellow Cards
2.0
Hebburn Town vs Blyth Spartans Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Hebburn Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Blyth Spartans
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
37%
Ball Possession
63%
11
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Target
3
1
Corners
0
The Meetings
13.08.2024
Blyth Spartans
0-1
HT 0-0
Hebburn Town
İNGNLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Hebburn Town
İNGNLP
POST-MATCH
Hebburn Town vs Blyth Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Hebburn Town saw off Blyth Spartans 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Hebburn Town as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Hebburn Town vs Blyth Spartans?
Hebburn Town 3-1 Blyth Spartans in the England - Non League Premier on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hebburn Town vs Blyth Spartans?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hebburn Town win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hebburn Town 55%, draw 21%, Blyth Spartans 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hebburn Town) — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Hebburn Town)
✗ BTTS No
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
21 Dec 2024