Ilkeston Town 1-0 Mickleover Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-5.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mickleover Sports EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -18%
2.78/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.18
+34% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Mickleover Sports
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
13.08.2024 Mickleover Sports 1-3 HT 1-2 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
02.01.2023 Mickleover Sports 1-1 HT 0-1 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
29.08.2022 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 2-3 HT 0-2 Mickleover Sports İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Mickleover Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town squeezed past Mickleover Sports 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ilkeston Town as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ilkeston Town and 1.67 for Mickleover Sports.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Mickleover Sports?

Ilkeston Town 1-0 Mickleover Sports in the England - Non League Premier on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Mickleover Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 53%, draw 22%, Mickleover Sports 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilkeston Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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